Cubs at Phillies
Last play · Vidal Bruján flies out to left fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CHC 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 6 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Phillies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Vidal Bruján. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 1) — +9% Phillies
8Kyle Tucker grounds out, first baseman Otto Kemp to pitcher Max Lazar. Ian Happ scores.2–7
7Alec Bohm homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–7
4Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to center fielder Vidal Bruján. Otto Kemp scores. Trea Turner scores.1–6
4Nico Hoerner doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Carson Kelly scores.1–4
3Kyle Schwarber homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
1J.T. Realmuto singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Max Kepler scores.0–3
1Max Kepler doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Vidal Bruján. Kyle Schwarber scores.0–2
1Alec Bohm grounds out, third baseman Matt Shaw to first baseman Justin Turner. Trea Turner scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
