Reds at Guardians
Last play · Connor Joe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 7 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Santana hits a grand slam (8) to right center field. Angel Martínez scores. Lane Thomas scores. José Ramírez scores. (inning 3) — +26% Guardians
6Lane Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Dom Nuñez scores. Angel Martínez scores.2–11
6Angel Martínez singles on a ground ball to pitcher Joe La Sorsa, deflected by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Johnathan Rodríguez scores. Dom Nuñez to 2nd.2–8
6TJ Friedl homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–7
4Kyle Manzardo doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Connor Joe. Dom Nuñez scores. Angel Martínez scores.1–7
4Elly De La Cruz homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
3Carlos Santana hits a grand slam (8) to right center field. Angel Martínez scores. Lane Thomas scores. José Ramírez scores.0–5
1José Ramírez doubles (15) on a fly ball to left fielder Garrett Hampson. David Fry scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
