Blue Jays at Cardinals
Last play · Lars Nootbaar strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
TOR 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 2 STL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Cardinals favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Myles Straw scores. Jonatan Clase to 3rd. (inning 4) — -14% Blue Jays
5Ernie Clement homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.5–2
4Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jonatan Clase scores.4–2
4Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Myles Straw scores. Jonatan Clase to 3rd.3–2
3George Springer out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.2–2
3Bo Bichette singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Tyler Heineman scores.1–2
2Yohel Pozo homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw. Masyn Winn scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
