Nationals at Mets
Last play · Keibert Ruiz grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
WSH 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Mets favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — +24% Mets
9José Tena grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Pete Alonso.3–4
9Josh Bell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd. Jacob Young to 2nd.2–4
9Luis García Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto, deflected by first baseman Pete Alonso. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood to 3rd.1–4
5Brandon Nimmo homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.0–4
1Jeff McNeil homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
