Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Elias Díaz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres0%
LAD 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 1 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Freddie Freeman scores. Will Smith scores. (inning 6) — -38% Dodgers
9Will Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 2nd.5–2
6Gavin Sheets out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Manny Machado scores.4–2
6Teoscar Hernández homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Freddie Freeman scores. Will Smith scores.4–1
5Michael Conforto homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Martín Maldonado walks. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
