Yankees at Red Sox
Last play · Carlos Narváez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger. David Hamilton scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
NYY 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 1 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (26) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — -38% Yankees
10Carlos Narváez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger. David Hamilton scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.1–2
9Aaron Judge homers (26) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Trevor Story scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
