Yankees at Royals
Last play · Jac Caglianone called out on strikes.
Win probability
Royals0%
NYY 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 0 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Royals favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Pablo Reyes scores. Ben Rice to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Lucas Erceg, assist to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. (inning 8) — -26% Yankees
8Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Pablo Reyes scores. Ben Rice to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Lucas Erceg, assist to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
