Rockies at Braves
Last play · Orlando Arcia pops out to catcher Sean Murphy in foul territory.
Win probability
Braves100%
COL 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 4 – 1 ATL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+300 / -385
Braves favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Matt Olson scores. Sean Murphy scores. (inning 6) — +43% Braves
8Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Matt Olson scores.4–12
8Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Eli White scores. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Orlando Arcia.4–11
8Nick Allen out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Michael Harris II scores.4–8
7Marcell Ozuna homers (11) on a line drive to left center field. Alex Verdugo scores. Matt Olson scores.4–7
6Michael Harris II homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Matt Olson scores. Sean Murphy scores.4–4
4Ryan McMahon singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Tyler Freeman scores. Thairo Estrada to 3rd. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.4–1
4Hunter Goodman singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Keston Hiura scores. Tyler Freeman to 3rd. Thairo Estrada to 2nd.3–1
1Matt Olson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jordan Beck. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
