Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Alec Burleson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
STL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 6 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Caleb Durbin scores. Joey Ortiz scores. (inning 5) — +10% Brewers
5Jackson Chourio homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Sal Frelick scores.0–6
5Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Caleb Durbin scores. Joey Ortiz scores.0–4
5Joey Ortiz doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Brice Turang scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.0–2
2Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to third baseman Nolan Arenado. Isaac Collins scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
