Twins at Astros
Last play · Matt Wallner pops out to third baseman Shay Whitcomb.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIN 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 9 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Astros favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cam Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jeremy Peña scores. Yainer Diaz scores. Christian Walker to 2nd. (inning 1) — +17% Astros
9Ty France homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–10
8Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Mauricio Dubón scores. Brendan Rodgers to 3rd.2–10
6Royce Lewis homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.2–9
4Jose Altuve homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.1–9
4Willi Castro homers (7) on a line drive to left field.1–8
3Mauricio Dubón out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Willi Castro. Jacob Melton scores.0–8
3Jacob Melton triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jake Meyers scores. Cam Smith scores.0–7
2Jose Altuve doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brendan Rodgers scores. Jeremy Peña scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
