Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Seiya Suzuki grounds out softly, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Jared Triolo.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PIT 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -115
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dansby Swanson reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Kyle Tucker scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd. (inning 8) — +32% Cubs
10Isiah Kiner-Falefa out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Adam Frazier scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd.2–1
8Dansby Swanson reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Kyle Tucker scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd.1–1
8Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Brad Keller. Henry Davis scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
