Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging, catcher William Contreras to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
STL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Sal Frelick scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd. (inning 6) — +19% Brewers
9Victor Scott II singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Nolan Gorman scores.2–3
6Christian Yelich reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Nolan Gorman. Jackson Chourio scores.1–3
6William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Sal Frelick scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd.1–2
5Nolan Arenado doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Alec Burleson scores.1–1
4William Contreras doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Sal Frelick scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
