Guardians at Mariners
Last play · Lane Thomas grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.
Win probability
Mariners100%
CLE 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Cal Raleigh scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd. (inning 7) — +21% Mariners
8Jorge Polanco homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.2–7
7Cole Young doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Dominic Canzone scores. Ben Williamson to 3rd.2–6
7Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nolan Jones. Jorge Polanco scores. Randy Arozarena scores.2–5
7Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Cal Raleigh scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd.2–3
4J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ben Williamson scores.2–2
4Rowdy Tellez homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
3Steven Kwan homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
3Nolan Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
