Yankees at Red Sox
Last play · Austin Wells flies out sharply to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
NYY 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Red Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story doubles (6) on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Carlos Narváez scores. (inning 4) — +9% Red Sox
9Anthony Volpe grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Paul Goldschmidt scores.3–4
7Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jasson Domínguez to 2nd.2–4
7Jasson Domínguez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.1–4
6Marcelo Mayer out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Trevor Story scores.0–4
5Romy Gonzalez doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Kristian Campbell scores.0–3
4Trevor Story doubles (6) on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Carlos Narváez scores.0–2
1Carlos Narváez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Rob Refsnyder scores. Throwing error by shortstop Anthony Volpe.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
