Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Brice Turang called out on strikes.
Win probability
Brewers0%
STL 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 7 – 4 MIL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Scott II singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Nolan Gorman scores. Jordan Walker scores. (inning 4) — -17% Cardinals
9William Contreras homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.8–5
9Willson Contreras homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.8–4
5Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Sal Frelick scores.7–4
5Sal Frelick doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Alec Burleson. Brice Turang scores. Caleb Durbin scores.7–3
5Nolan Gorman homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado scores.7–1
4Christian Yelich strikes out swinging.4–1
4Victor Scott II singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Nolan Gorman scores. Jordan Walker scores.4–0
4Jordan Walker reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Caleb Durbin. Nolan Arenado scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd. Jordan Walker to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Caleb Durbin.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
