Twins at Astros
Last play · Cam Smith singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Christian Walker scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIN 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 2 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Astros favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 5) — -25% Twins
9Cam Smith singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Christian Walker scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd.2–3
5Brooks Lee homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores.2–2
3Yainer Diaz homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Jeremy Peña scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
