Blue Jays at Phillies
Last play · Davis Schneider pops out to second baseman Bryson Stott.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TOR 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 2 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Phillies favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — +29% Phillies
8Max Kepler homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.2–3
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Bo Bichette scores.2–2
4Otto Kemp hit by pitch. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.1–2
4Bryson Stott walks. Nick Castellanos scores. Max Kepler to 3rd. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.1–1
2Myles Straw singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler, deflected by third baseman Alec Bohm. Ernie Clement scores. Myles Straw to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
