Guardians at Mariners
Last play · Jorge Polanco singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
CLE 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mariners favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging. (inning 9) — +42% Mariners
9Jorge Polanco singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.3–4
9Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.3–3
6Angel Martínez pops out to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.3–2
5José Ramírez homers (13) on a line drive to right field.2–2
4Nolan Jones doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Carlos Santana scores. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd.1–2
1Jorge Polanco out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Angel Martínez. Julio Rodríguez scores.0–2
1Cal Raleigh doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder Nolan Jones. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
