Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Alex Call grounds into a double play, pitcher Freddy Tarnok to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Eric Wagaman. José Tena out at 2nd. Alex Call out at 1st.
Win probability
Nationals0%
MIA 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 1 WSH
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dane Myers homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — -20% Marlins
7Eric Wagaman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Robert Hassell III. Nick Fortes scores.3–1
2Dane Myers homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
1Luis García Jr. grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Eric Wagaman. Alex Call scores. CJ Abrams to 3rd.1–1
1Eric Wagaman out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alex Call. Agustín Ramírez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
