Rays at Mets
Last play · Juan Soto flies out sharply to left fielder Jake Mangum.
Win probability
Mets0%
TB 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 6 – 0 NYM
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Mets favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Danny Jansen singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Kameron Misner scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd. (inning 2) — -18% Rays
9Junior Caminero homers (17) on a line drive to left field. Taylor Walls scores. Brandon Lowe scores.9–0
5Jonathan Aranda doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Josh Lowe scores. Junior Caminero scores.6–0
3Jake Mangum grounds into a force out, shortstop Luisangel Acuña to second baseman Jeff McNeil. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda out at 2nd. Jake Mangum to 1st.4–0
2Danny Jansen singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Kameron Misner scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.3–0
2Kameron Misner grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Luisangel Acuña. Jonathan Aranda scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd. José Caballero out at 2nd. Kameron Misner to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
