Blue Jays at Phillies
Last play · Jonatan Clase lines out sharply to right fielder Brandon Marsh.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TOR 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 6 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Phillies favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Kemp singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alan Roden. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto scores. (inning 4) — +13% Phillies
7Kyle Schwarber grounds into a force out, shortstop Ernie Clement to second baseman Andrés Giménez. Otto Kemp scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Trea Turner out at 2nd. Kyle Schwarber to 1st.4–11
7Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Alan Roden scores. Will Robertson to 3rd.4–10
7Will Robertson singles on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Ernie Clement scores. Alan Roden to 3rd.3–10
6Nick Castellanos hits a grand slam (7) to left center field. Otto Kemp scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. Alec Bohm scores.2–10
5Alec Bohm homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Schwarber scores.2–6
5Jonatan Clase singles on a ground ball to pitcher Zack Wheeler. Ernie Clement scores. Throwing error by pitcher Zack Wheeler.2–4
5Alan Roden out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Andrés Giménez scores.1–4
4Otto Kemp singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alan Roden. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
