Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Ian Happ singles on a line drive to right fielder Alexander Canario. Vidal Bruján scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.
Win probability
Cubs100%
PIT 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 2 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Bednar intentionally walks Kyle Tucker. (inning 10) — +18% Cubs
10Ian Happ singles on a line drive to right fielder Alexander Canario. Vidal Bruján scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.2–3
1Dansby Swanson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alexander Canario. Michael Busch scores.2–2
1Seiya Suzuki grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Ian Happ scores.2–1
1Alexander Canario grounds out softly, third baseman Jon Berti to first baseman Michael Busch. Nick Gonzales scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.2–0
1Spencer Horwitz singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Oneil Cruz scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
