Twins at Astros
Last play · Mauricio Dubón singles on a fly ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Jake Meyers scores.
Win probability
Astros100%
MIN 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 0 HOU
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Astros favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Willi Castro. Jeremy Peña scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Astros
10Mauricio Dubón singles on a fly ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Jake Meyers scores.1–2
9Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Willi Castro. Jeremy Peña scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.1–1
3Brooks Lee homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
