Cardinals at Brewers
Last play · Masyn Winn strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
STL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — +20% Brewers
8Iván Herrera homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
7Sal Frelick grounds out, pitcher John King to first baseman Willson Contreras. Caleb Durbin scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.1–3
4Drew Avans out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Rhys Hoskins scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.1–2
4Christian Yelich homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
4Willson Contreras grounds out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Brendan Donovan scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
