Padres at D-backs
Last play · Josh Naylor flies out to center fielder Brandon Lockridge.
Win probability
D-backs0%
SD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 2 AZ
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 4) — -20% Padres
9Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.8–2
9Elias Díaz homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.7–2
7Manny Machado grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Pavin Smith. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.6–2
7Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Elias Díaz scores.5–2
5Eugenio Suárez homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Naylor scores.4–2
5Luis Arraez doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.4–0
4Jake Cronenworth homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Xander Bogaerts scores.3–0
4Xander Bogaerts doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Gavin Sheets scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
