Mets at Braves
Last play · Austin Riley out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Luke Williams scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
NYM 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 1 ATL
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Braves favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Alex Verdugo scores. (inning 8) — +54% Braves
10Austin Riley out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Luke Williams scores.4–5
8Marcell Ozuna doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Alex Verdugo scores.4–4
5Tyrone Taylor homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
3Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Eli White to 3rd.3–1
2Tyrone Taylor doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez scores.3–0
1Juan Soto homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
