Rockies at Nationals
Last play · Josh Bell grounds out, first baseman Michael Toglia to pitcher Seth Halvorsen.
Win probability
Nationals0%
COL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 4 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Nationals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 9) — -41% Rockies
9Mickey Moniak homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Sam Hilliard scores.6–4
9Hunter Goodman homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.4–4
5James Wood homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Call scores.3–4
5Daylen Lile homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–2
5Michael Toglia singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Mickey Moniak scores.3–1
4Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jordan Beck. CJ Abrams scores.2–1
1Hunter Goodman homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler Freeman scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
