Orioles at Rays
Last play · Gunnar Henderson pops out to shortstop José Caballero.
Win probability
Rays100%
BAL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 7 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Lowe scores. (inning 4) — +13% Rays
5Jake Mangum doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero scores.1–7
4Brandon Lowe homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Lowe scores.1–5
4Adley Rutschman homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
3Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to third baseman Ramón Urías. Yandy Díaz scores.0–3
2Christopher Morel singles on a soft bunt ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Jake Mangum scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.0–2
1Josh Lowe homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
