Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Connor Norby grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Otto Kemp.
Win probability
Marlins0%
PHI 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 1 MIA
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Kyle Stowers scores. Liam Hicks to 3rd. (inning 2) — +15% Marlins
9Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Rafael Marchán scores. Brandon Marsh scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.5–2
8Agustín Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Max Kepler in foul territory. Xavier Edwards scores.3–2
7Trea Turner singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Brandon Marsh scores.3–1
4Max Kepler homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
2Connor Norby singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Kyle Stowers scores. Liam Hicks to 3rd.1–1
1Trea Turner homers (8) on a line drive to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
