Rockies at Nationals
Last play · Daylen Lile flies out to left fielder Sam Hilliard.
Win probability
Nationals0%
COL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 1 WSH
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Nationals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Toglia homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Brenton Doyle scores. (inning 4) — -26% Rockies
9Brady House singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Nathaniel Lowe scores.10–6
9Luis García Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. CJ Abrams scores.10–5
9CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Jacob Young scores.10–3
8Nathaniel Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.10–2
8Mickey Moniak homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.10–1
7Sam Hilliard homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.9–1
7Michael Toglia homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.8–1
7Ryan McMahon homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.7–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
