Red Sox at Mariners
Last play · Carlos Narváez grounds into a force out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to second baseman Cole Young. Nate Eaton out at 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
BOS 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 8 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Mariners favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh hits a grand slam (27) to right field. Cole Young scores. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 2) — +25% Mariners
4Jorge Polanco out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Cal Raleigh scores.0–8
4Cal Raleigh doubles (13) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Roman Anthony. Cole Young scores. J.P. Crawford scores.0–7
2Cal Raleigh hits a grand slam (27) to right field. Cole Young scores. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.0–5
2Cole Young doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Rowdy Tellez scores. Ben Williamson out at home on the throw, center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela to second baseman David Hamilton to catcher Carlos Narváez.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
