Padres at Dodgers
Last play · Xander Bogaerts flies out to right fielder Teoscar Hernández.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SD 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 3 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Dodgers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddie Freeman scores. (inning 6) — +31% Dodgers
7Xander Bogaerts grounds out, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman.6–8
7Trenton Brooks homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Jose Iglesias scores.5–8
6Tommy Edman doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Max Muncy scores. Andy Pages scores.3–8
6Andy Pages singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Teoscar Hernández scores. Max Muncy to 2nd.3–6
6Will Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddie Freeman scores.3–5
4Andy Pages homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
3Gavin Sheets out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.3–2
3Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Martín Maldonado scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
