Mets at Braves
Last play · Luis Torrens grounds into a force out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to shortstop Nick Allen. Brandon Nimmo out at 2nd.
Win probability
Braves100%
NYM 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 4 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Braves favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Austin Riley scores. (inning 1) — +16% Braves
7Matt Olson homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.0–5
4Nick Allen walks. Ozzie Albies scores. Wild pitch by pitcher José Buttó.0–4
1Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Austin Riley scores.0–3
1Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
