Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Nick Fortes flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Marlins0%
PHI 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 4 – 1 MIA
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto scores. (inning 4) — -29% Phillies
9Dane Myers singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Heriberto Hernández scores.4–2
5Connor Norby homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
4Bryson Stott homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.4–0
4J.T. Realmuto singles on a ground ball to left fielder Javier Sanoja. Nick Castellanos scores. Max Kepler to 3rd. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
