Orioles at Rays
Last play · Jackson Holliday strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
BAL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 8 – 8 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Gary Sánchez scores. (inning 2) — -33% Orioles
7Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Junior Caminero scores. Josh Lowe scores.8–12
7Josh Lowe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Brandon Lowe scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.8–10
7Junior Caminero singles on a line drive to shortstop Gunnar Henderson, deflected by second baseman Jackson Holliday. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.8–9
5Brandon Lowe homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Yandy Díaz scores.8–8
5Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Taylor Walls scores.8–6
5Taylor Walls triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano, deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. José Caballero scores.8–5
4Junior Caminero singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Curtis Mead scores.8–4
3Jake Mangum singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Junior Caminero scores. Christopher Morel scores.8–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
