Red Sox at Mariners
Last play · Dominic Canzone grounds into a double play, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Abraham Toro. Randy Arozarena out at 2nd. Dominic Canzone out at 1st.
Win probability
Mariners0%
BOS 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 1 SEA
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Mariners favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Marcelo Mayer scores. (inning 4) — -26% Red Sox
4Trevor Story homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Marcelo Mayer scores.3–1
2Donovan Solano singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran.1–1
2Marcelo Mayer homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
