Reds at Cardinals
Last play · Nolan Arenado grounds out, third baseman Santiago Espinal to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CIN 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 1 STL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Fraley doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder José Barrero. Jose Trevino scores. (inning 5) — -16% Reds
6Gavin Lux grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras. Elly De La Cruz scores.4–1
5TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder José Barrero. Jake Fraley scores.3–1
5Jake Fraley doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder José Barrero. Jose Trevino scores.2–1
2Yohel Pozo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Nolan Arenado scores. Thomas Saggese to 2nd.1–1
1Matt McLain homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
