Rangers at Pirates
Last play · Ezequiel Duran called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
TEX 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 7 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Pirates favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Bryan Reynolds scores. Joey Bart scores. (inning 5) — +17% Pirates
7Tommy Pham doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Spencer Horwitz scores.3–8
6Josh Jung grounds into a force out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Adolis García scores. Jonah Heim out at 2nd. Josh Jung to 1st.3–7
5Tommy Pham doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.2–7
5Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Spencer Horwitz scores.2–6
5Spencer Horwitz doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Bryan Reynolds scores. Joey Bart scores.2–5
5Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Oneil Cruz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.2–3
4Tommy Pham out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Spencer Horwitz scores.2–2
4Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Joey Bart scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
