Mariners at Cubs
Last play · Kyle Tucker pops out to third baseman Miles Mastrobuoni.
Win probability
Cubs0%
SEA 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 5 – 4 CHC
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +100
Cubs favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 5) — +28% Cubs
8Donovan Solano singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Cole Young scores. Randy Arozarena scores.14–6
8Randy Arozarena doubles (19) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh scores. Cole Young to 3rd.12–6
8Cole Young singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.10–6
7Kyle Tucker homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Justin Turner scores.9–6
7Donovan Solano homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Mitch Garver scores.9–4
6Julio Rodríguez grounds out, shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. J.P. Crawford to 3rd.7–4
6Dominic Canzone homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.6–4
5Seiya Suzuki homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Tucker scores.5–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
