Royals at Padres
Last play · Jose Iglesias reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Luis Arraez scores.
Win probability
Padres100%
KC 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 0 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -120
Padres favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Iglesias singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Jackson Merrill scores. Gavin Sheets scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. (inning 7) — +38% Padres
9Jose Iglesias reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Luis Arraez scores.2–3
7Jose Iglesias singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Jackson Merrill scores. Gavin Sheets scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.2–2
6Salvador Perez homers (9) on a line drive to left center field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
