Red Sox at Giants
Last play · Carlos Narváez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
BOS 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 4 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Giants favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rob Refsnyder homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Nate Eaton scores. (inning 5) — -31% Red Sox
8Willy Adames homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.5–9
7Heliot Ramos doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Roman Anthony. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Rafael Devers scores.5–8
7Mike Yastrzemski reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Romy Gonzalez. Casey Schmitt scores.5–6
7Tyler Fitzgerald out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Carlos Narváez to first baseman Abraham Toro. Willy Adames scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd.5–5
6Ceddanne Rafaela homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.5–4
5Mike Yastrzemski homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.4–4
5Casey Schmitt homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.4–3
5Romy Gonzalez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
