Rangers at Orioles
Last play · Marcus Semien grounds out, third baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Coby Mayo.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TEX 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Holliday homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Coby Mayo scores. Cedric Mullins scores. (inning 5) — +20% Orioles
7Ramón Urías out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Ramón Laureano scores.0–6
6Coby Mayo grounds out softly, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Justin Foscue. Gary Sánchez scores. Ramón Urías to 3rd. Colton Cowser to 2nd.0–5
5Jackson Holliday homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Coby Mayo scores. Cedric Mullins scores.0–4
3Jackson Holliday doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Chadwick Tromp scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
