Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Sal Frelick flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
Win probability
Brewers0%
PIT 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 4 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 5) — +29% Brewers
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Tommy Pham scores.5–4
5Christian Yelich homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Sal Frelick scores.4–4
5Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Bryan Reynolds scores. Nick Gonzales out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Sal Frelick to shortstop Joey Ortiz.4–2
4Caleb Durbin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. William Contreras scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.3–2
4Brice Turang singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Christian Yelich scores. William Contreras to 2nd.3–1
4Tommy Pham homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.3–0
1Nick Gonzales doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Bryan Reynolds scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
