Yankees at Reds
Last play · Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, third baseman Santiago Espinal to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Reds100%
NYY 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 4 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Reds favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elly De La Cruz triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Matt McLain scores. (inning 4) — +16% Reds
8Jose Trevino reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Spencer Steer scores.1–6
8Elly De La Cruz homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–5
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Jake Fraley scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd. Matt McLain to 2nd.1–4
4Gavin Lux homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
4Spencer Steer out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–2
4Elly De La Cruz triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Matt McLain scores.1–1
1Aaron Judge homers (28) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
