Braves at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Mets0%
ATL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 0 NYM
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (17) on a line drive to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. (inning 6) — +28% Mets
6Juan Soto homers (17) on a line drive to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–2
3Sean Murphy out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Matt Olson scores.3–0
3Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
2Michael Harris II out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Ozzie Albies scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
