Mariners at Twins
Last play · Christian Vázquez flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
Win probability
Twins0%
SEA 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 6 – 0 MIN
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Twins favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Cole Young scores. (inning 3) — -21% Mariners
9Cal Raleigh homers (32) on a fly ball to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores.11–2
9Julio Rodríguez doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Dominic Canzone scores. Ben Williamson scores.9–2
6Carlos Correa homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.7–2
6Trevor Larnach homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.7–1
6Dominic Canzone homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.7–0
3Luke Raley homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena scores.6–0
3Julio Rodríguez homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Cole Young scores.3–0
3J.P. Crawford out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Ben Williamson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
