Yankees at Reds
Last play · Gavin Lux singles on a fly ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.
Win probability
Reds100%
NYY 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 0 CIN
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Reds favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Tyler Stephenson scores. Rece Hinds scores. Jose Trevino scores. (inning 7) — +48% Reds
11Gavin Lux singles on a fly ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.4–5
11Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.4–4
11Paul Goldschmidt flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds.4–3
7Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Tyler Stephenson scores. Rece Hinds scores. Jose Trevino scores.3–3
4Anthony Volpe triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Aaron Judge scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.3–0
4Ben Rice homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
