Nationals at Padres
Last play · Manny Machado flies out to right fielder Daylen Lile.
Win probability
Padres0%
WSH 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 6 – 1 SD
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Padres favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. CJ Abrams scores. (inning 4) — -14% Nationals
9Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Gavin Sheets scores. Jose Iglesias scores.10–6
9Josh Bell homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.10–3
8James Wood homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. Daylen Lile scores. CJ Abrams scores.9–3
7Jake Cronenworth homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.6–3
6Gavin Sheets singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.6–2
5Josh Bell singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.6–1
5Luis García Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood to 2nd.5–1
4Manny Machado homers (13) on a line drive to center field.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
