Rays at Royals
Last play · Salvador Perez flies out to right fielder José Caballero.
Win probability
Royals0%
TB 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 0 KC
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Royals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Danny Jansen homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. José Caballero scores. (inning 2) — -24% Rays
9Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Maikel Garcia scores.5–1
8Jake Mangum grounds into a force out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Jonathan India. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda out at 2nd. Jake Mangum to 1st.5–0
5Jonathan Aranda singles on a ground ball to pitcher Kris Bubic. Yandy Díaz scores. Curtis Mead to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Kris Bubic.4–0
4Danny Jansen out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Drew Waters. Jonathan Aranda scores.3–0
2Danny Jansen homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. José Caballero scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
