Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Adam Frazier called out on strikes.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Caleb Durbin scores. (inning 3) — +23% Brewers
8Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Isaac Collins scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.3–9
8Joey Ortiz grounds into a force out, first baseman Spencer Horwitz to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Andruw Monasterio scores. Isaac Collins to 3rd. Caleb Durbin out at 2nd. Joey Ortiz to 1st.3–8
6Nick Gonzales homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores.3–7
5Brice Turang strikes out swinging.0–7
4Joey Ortiz homers (4) on a line drive to left center field.0–6
4Caleb Durbin homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Brice Turang scores. Isaac Collins scores.0–5
3Joey Ortiz homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Caleb Durbin scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
